Blog / Signals / Signal #9778
Bearish
BTCUSD · M15 · Auto H1
Session Asia
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 70386 – 70500
Stop Loss 71083
TP 1 70216
TP 2 70000
TP 3 69500
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced WAIT
Scalp NO-TRADE
Setup Checklist
✓ 6 confirmed✗ 0 failed○ 6 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 70487.91 is inside entry zone [70386.00–70500.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 1).
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from swing range: ratio=0.64 (OK for STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=H4_SWING [68216.32–71761.89]
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
STRUCT confirmed for SHORT (bos=BOS_DOWN, choch=NONE, bias=RANGE). | HTF: H4=BULL H1=BULL [Carried CONFIRMED]
RETEST
Break + Retest
STRUCT confirmed; waiting for retest + acceptance (closed-candle).
OB
Order Block
Nearest OB [70634.84–70776.88] does not overlap entry zone [70386.00–70500.00]; wait for a valid OB at entry.
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=28.57, min_mid_body=57.15).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Sweep detected but not preferred for STRICT SHORT. Swept lows (prior_low=70367.98) then closed back above. Pools: Pools: EQH=—, EQL=— (tol=0.25). Opposite sweep observed vs STRICT SHORT; waiting preferred LIQ cleanup.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
Plan bias 'Bearish' is aligned with STRICT SHORT.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[70386.0–70500.0], SL=71083.0, TP1=70216.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Outside killzones (UTC). now=02:02Z Session=ASIA. UK_BST=OFF US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 07:00-10:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on H4 and H1 with recent BOS down. Price is in the lower third of the daily range which aligns with discount zone for longs but conflicts with bearish bias. 15m structure shows no clear bullish BOS or HH/HL to support longs. Risk zone is discount but selling in discount is against rules. Timing is Asia session, which favors continuation but no clean entry zone aligns with all conditions. Therefore STRICT lane is NO-TRADE.
Entry Model
Breaker Block 60% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.