Blog / Signals / Signal #8059
Bearish
XAUUSD · M15 · Auto H1
Session London
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 4990 – 4995
Stop Loss 5017
TP 1 4977
TP 2 4960
TP 3 4940
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced WAIT
Scalp NO-TRADE
Setup Checklist
✓ 4 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 7 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 4987.60 is BELOW_ZONE vs entry zone [4990.00–4995.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 1); waiting for a CLOSED close inside zone.
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from swing range: ratio=0.22 (DISCOUNT blocks STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=H4_SWING [4973.08–5037.98]
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
Waiting for BOS_DOWN/CHOCH_DOWN for SHORT. M15 swing structure: Range structure (RANGE) | bos=NONE choch=NONE | HTF: H4=BEAR H1=BEAR
RETEST
Break + Retest
Waiting for STRUCT confirmation before retest/acceptance.
OB
Order Block
OB overlaps entry zone but OB mid=4992.08 is below EQ(50%)=5005.53; STRICT SHORT expects premium-side OB (>= EQ).
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=0.88, min_mid_body=1.76).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Sweep detected but not preferred for STRICT SHORT. Swept lows (prior_low=4982.04) then closed back above. Pools: Pools: EQH=4992.10(2), EQL=4987.68(2) (tol=0.25). Opposite sweep observed vs STRICT SHORT; waiting preferred LIQ cleanup.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
Plan bias 'Bearish' is aligned with STRICT SHORT.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[4990.0–4995.0], SL=5017.0, TP1=4977.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Inside killzone (UTC). now=09:01Z Session=LONDON. UK_BST=OFF US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 07:00-10:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is bearish confirmed by H4 and H1 with recent BOS down. Price is in lower_third of daily range but daily is bearish. However, 15m structure shows mixed signals with no clear impulsive continuation and price near daily low. Risk zone is discount for longs but HTF bias is bearish, so buying is against trend and selling near daily low is risky. Session is Asia, which favors continuation but counter-trend moves are risky. Strict lane requires full alignment which is missing, so no strict trade now.
Entry Model
IFVG 56% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.