Blog / Signals / Signal #19166
Bearish
XAUUSD · H1 · Auto H1
Session NY
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 3990 – 4005
Stop Loss 4035
TP 1 3960
TP 2 3930
TP 3 3900
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced SHORT
Scalp WAIT
Setup Checklist
✓ 4 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 7 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 3981.50 is BELOW_ZONE vs entry zone [3990.00–4005.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 2); waiting for a CLOSED close inside zone.
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from live H4 range: ratio=0.04 (DISCOUNT blocks STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=[3964.58–4382.21].
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
Waiting for BOS_DOWN/CHOCH_DOWN for SHORT. M15 swing structure: LH+LL structure (bearish) | bos=NONE choch=NONE | HTF: H4=BEAR H1=BEAR
RETEST
Break + Retest
Waiting for STRUCT confirmation before retest/acceptance.
OB
Order Block
OB overlaps entry zone but OB mid=4009.30 is below EQ(50%)=4117.84; STRICT SHORT expects premium-side OB (>= EQ).
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=1.34, min_mid_body=2.67).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Swept EQH pool (level=3992.34, hits=2) then closed below. Pools: Pools: EQH=3992.34(2), EQL=4009.41(2) (tol=0.25). Sweep aligns with STRICT SHORT.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
Plan bias 'Bearish' is aligned with STRICT SHORT.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[3990.0–4005.0], SL=4035.0, TP1=3960.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Outside killzones (UTC). now=19:01Z Session=NY. UK_BST=ON US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 06:00-09:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by H4 and H1 with recent BOS down. Price is in the lower_third of the daily range on a bearish day, which aligns with short bias. However, 15m structure shows mixed signals with no clear impulsive leg or BOS down recently, and price is near daily low without a clear liquidity sweep or reclaim pattern. NY session timing is valid but entry is too close to daily low, risking buying into exhaustion. Strict lane requires cleaner 15m structure and better risk zone alignment.
Entry Model
Classic Fair Value Gap 56% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.