Blog / Signals / Signal #14511
Bearish
XAUUSD · H1 · Auto
Session NY
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 4510 – 4520
Stop Loss 4550
TP 1 4490
TP 2 4470
TP 3 4450
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced SHORT
Scalp NO-TRADE
Setup Checklist
✓ 4 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 7 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 4516.31 is inside entry zone [4510.00–4520.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 4).
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from live H4 range: ratio=0.06 (DISCOUNT blocks STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=[4500.90–4762.49].
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
Waiting for BOS_DOWN/CHOCH_DOWN for SHORT. M15 swing structure: Range structure (RANGE) | bos=NONE choch=NONE | HTF: H4=BEAR H1=BEAR
RETEST
Break + Retest
Waiting for STRUCT confirmation before retest/acceptance.
OB
Order Block
Nearest OB [4570.36–4583.25] does not overlap entry zone [4510.00–4520.00]; wait for a valid OB at entry.
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=1.13, min_mid_body=2.25).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Sweep detected but not preferred for STRICT SHORT. Swept EQL pool (level=4510.91, hits=2) then closed above. Pools: Pools: EQH=4525.38(2), EQL=4510.91(2) (tol=0.25). Opposite sweep observed vs STRICT SHORT; waiting preferred LIQ cleanup.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
Plan bias 'Bearish' is aligned with STRICT SHORT.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[4510.0–4520.0], SL=4540.0, TP1=4490.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Outside killzones (UTC). now=19:02Z Session=NY. UK_BST=ON US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 06:00-09:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on H4 and H1 with recent BOS down. Price is in the lower_third of the daily range on a bearish day, which aligns with short bias. However, 15m structure shows choppy price with no clear impulsive leg or BOS down recently, and price is near daily low with no clean premium zone for shorts. Also, the move is near daily low, risking buying liquidity below. Timing is NY session but no clean 15m structure or liquidity confluence for STRICT short entry. Therefore, STRICT lane is NO-TRADE.
Entry Model
IFVG 51% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.