Blog / Signals / Signal #18534
Bearish
XAUUSD · H1 · Manual
Session NY
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 4250 – 4270
Stop Loss 4300
TP 1 4220
TP 2 4200
TP 3 4170
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced WAIT
Scalp NO-TRADE
Setup Checklist
✓ 4 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 7 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 4235.55 is BELOW_ZONE vs entry zone [4250.00–4270.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 1); waiting for a CLOSED close inside zone.
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from live H4 range: ratio=0.47 (mid-range; wait for premium). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=[4023.92–4475.78].
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
STRUCT confirmed for SHORT (bos=BOS_DOWN, choch=CHOCH_DOWN, bias=RANGE). | HTF: H4=BULL H1=BEAR [Carried CONFIRMED]
RETEST
Break + Retest
Retest + acceptance confirmed (closed-candle).
OB
Order Block
Nearest OB [4270.34–4326.79] does not overlap entry zone [4250.00–4270.00]; wait for a valid OB at entry.
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=2.84, min_mid_body=5.68).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Sweep detected but not preferred for STRICT SHORT. Swept lows (prior_low=4226.62) then closed back above. Pools: Pools: EQH=4331.85(4), EQL=4360.81(3) (tol=0.25). Opposite sweep observed vs STRICT SHORT; waiting preferred LIQ cleanup.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
HTF snapshot shows BOS_UP (H4=BOS_UP, H1=BOS_DOWN); STRICT SHORT blocked.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[4250.0–4270.0], SL=4290.0, TP1=4220.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Outside killzones (UTC). now=20:02Z Session=NY. UK_BST=ON US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 06:00-09:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by H4 and H1 lower highs and lower lows with recent BOS down. Daily context shows price in lower_third with a bearish daily close, but 15m structure is mixed with no clear impulsive bearish leg near current price. Price is near daily low, risking buying into a strong support area. Timing is NY session with potential for continuation but risk zone and 15m structure do not align for STRICT entry.
Entry Model
Classic Fair Value Gap 38% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.