Blog / Signals / Signal #10867
Bearish
XAUUSD · H1 · Auto H1
Session Asia
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 4675 – 4690
Stop Loss 4720
TP 1 4650
TP 2 4620
TP 3 4590
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced WAIT
Scalp NO-TRADE
Setup Checklist
✓ 3 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 8 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 4690.05 is ABOVE_ZONE vs entry zone [4675.00–4690.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 1); waiting for a CLOSED close inside zone.
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from live H4 range: ratio=0.84 (OK for STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=[4099.22–4800.42].
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
Waiting for BOS_DOWN/CHOCH_DOWN for SHORT. M15 swing structure: LH+LL structure (bearish) | bos=NONE choch=NONE | HTF: H4=BULL H1=BEAR
RETEST
Break + Retest
Waiting for STRUCT confirmation before retest/acceptance.
OB
Order Block
Nearest OB [4692.50–4708.45] does not overlap entry zone [4675.00–4690.00]; wait for a valid OB at entry.
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=2.51, min_mid_body=5.02).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
No recent sweep detected; waiting for bearish sweep of highs (EQH/HIGH). Pools: EQH=4786.06(2), EQL=4788.71(3) (tol=0.25). Step3 pool cleanup not seen (tol=0.75, lb=24).
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
HTF snapshot shows BOS_UP (H4=BOS_UP, H1=BOS_DOWN); STRICT SHORT blocked.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[4675.0–4690.0], SL=4710.0, TP1=4650.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Outside killzones (UTC). now=02:40Z Session=ASIA. UK_BST=ON US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 06:00-09:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
Calendar unavailable; proceeding without news check (±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by H4 and H1 lower highs and lower lows with recent BOS down. Daily context is bearish with price in lower_third of the range, but 15m structure shows some choppy price action near current price and no clean impulsive leg for a strict entry. Also, timing is Asia session where counter-trend reversals are risky. Risk zone is discount for shorts, which is not ideal. Therefore, STRICT lane is NO-TRADE.
Entry Model
IFVG 56% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.