Blog / Signals / Signal #9637
Bearish
XAUUSD · M15 · Auto H1
Session NY
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 4400 – 4420
Stop Loss 4450
TP 1 4350
TP 2 4300
TP 3 4250
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced WAIT
Scalp NO-TRADE
Setup Checklist
✓ 4 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 7 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 4364.00 is BELOW_ZONE vs entry zone [4400.00–4420.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 1); waiting for a CLOSED close inside zone.
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from live H4 range: ratio=0.24 (DISCOUNT blocks STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=[4099.22–5210.70].
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
STRUCT confirmed for SHORT (bos=BOS_DOWN, choch=CHOCH_DOWN, bias=BULL). | HTF: H4=BEAR H1=BEAR [Carried CONFIRMED]
RETEST
Break + Retest
STRUCT confirmed; waiting for retest + acceptance (closed-candle).
OB
Order Block
Nearest OB [4366.23–4380.14] does not overlap entry zone [4400.00–4420.00]; wait for a valid OB at entry.
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=4.62, min_mid_body=9.25).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Sweep detected but not preferred for STRICT SHORT. Swept EQL pool (level=4352.86, hits=2) then closed above. Pools: Pools: EQH=4269.49(2), EQL=4352.86(2) (tol=0.25). Opposite sweep observed vs STRICT SHORT; waiting preferred LIQ cleanup.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
Plan bias 'Bearish' is aligned with STRICT SHORT.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[4400.0–4420.0], SL=4440.0, TP1=4350.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Outside killzones (UTC). now=16:01Z Session=NY. UK_BST=OFF US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 07:00-10:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on H4 and H1 with recent BOS down. However, price is currently in the middle_third of the daily range, which is not ideal for a strict short. 15m structure shows some bearish momentum but not a clean impulsive leg near a premium zone. Session is Asia, which favors continuation but counter-trend reversals are risky. Risk zone and daily position do not align perfectly for a strict short. Therefore, no strict trade now.
Entry Model
Breaker Block 60% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.