Blog / Signals / Signal #9626
Bearish
XAUUSD · M15 · Auto H1
Session London
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 4400 – 4420
Stop Loss 4450
TP 1 4350
TP 2 4300
TP 3 4250
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced SHORT
Scalp WAIT
Setup Checklist
✓ 4 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 7 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 4461.81 is ABOVE_ZONE vs entry zone [4400.00–4420.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 1); waiting for a CLOSED close inside zone.
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from live H4 range: ratio=0.33 (DISCOUNT blocks STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=[4099.22–5210.70].
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
Waiting for BOS_DOWN/CHOCH_DOWN for SHORT. M15 swing structure: HH+HL structure (bullish) | bos=NONE choch=NONE | HTF: H4=BEAR H1=BEAR
RETEST
Break + Retest
Waiting for STRUCT confirmation before retest/acceptance.
OB
Order Block
Nearest OB [4472.66–4490.91] does not overlap entry zone [4400.00–4420.00]; wait for a valid OB at entry.
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=4.73, min_mid_body=9.47).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Swept highs (prior_high=4492.50) then closed back below. Pools: Pools: EQH=4269.49(2), EQL=4352.86(2) (tol=0.25). Sweep aligns with STRICT SHORT.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
Plan bias 'Bearish' is aligned with STRICT SHORT.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[4400.0–4420.0], SL=4440.0, TP1=4350.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Outside killzones (UTC). now=15:01Z Session=LONDON. UK_BST=OFF US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 07:00-10:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by H4 and H1 lower highs/lows and BOS down, but price is currently in the upper_third of the daily range which is premium zone for shorts. 15m structure shows some recovery attempts but no clean impulsive leg down recently. Timing is Asia session, which favors continuation but counter-trend reversals are risky. Risk zone and daily position conflict with a clean STRICT short entry. Therefore, STRICT lane is NO-TRADE.
Entry Model
Breaker Block 60% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.