Blog / Signals / Signal #9387
Bearish
BTCUSD · M15 · Auto H1
Session NY
Trade Levels
Entry Zone 68500 – 68700
Stop Loss 68950
TP 1 68200
TP 2 68015
TP 3 67800
Lane Decisions
Strict NO-TRADE
Balanced WAIT
Scalp NO-TRADE
Setup Checklist
✓ 5 confirmed✗ 1 failed○ 6 waiting
ENTRY
Entry Zone
Last closed close 68787.83 is ABOVE_ZONE vs entry zone [68500.00–68700.00] (in-zone closes last 8: 1); waiting for a CLOSED close inside zone.
PD
PD Array
PD inferred from swing range: ratio=0.21 (DISCOUNT blocks STRICT SHORT). Confirm LONG<=0.40; SHORT>=0.60; mid 0.40-0.60=WAIT. Range=H4_SWING [68216.32–70902.81]
STRUCT
Structure (BOS/CHOCH)
Waiting for BOS_DOWN/CHOCH_DOWN for SHORT. M15 swing structure: HH+HL structure (bullish) | bos=NONE choch=NONE | HTF: H4=BEAR H1=BEAR
RETEST
Break + Retest
Waiting for STRUCT confirmation before retest/acceptance.
OB
Order Block
Nearest OB [69121.12–69199.48] does not overlap entry zone [68500.00–68700.00]; wait for a valid OB at entry.
FVG
Fair Value Gap
No FVG found (min_size=19.15, min_mid_body=38.31).
LIQ
Liquidity Sweep
Swept EQH pool (level=68761.90, hits=2) then closed below. Pools: Pools: EQH=68761.90(2), EQL=— (tol=0.25). Sweep aligns with STRICT SHORT.
CONFLUENCE
Confluence (OB+FVG)
OB=False, FVG=False (need at least one)
CTX
HTF Context
Plan bias 'Bearish' is aligned with STRICT SHORT.
LEVELS
Plan Levels
Levels valid (SHORT): Entry[68500.0–68700.0], SL=68950.0, TP1=68200.0.
TIMING
Session / Killzone
Inside killzone (UTC). now=17:01Z Session=NY. UK_BST=OFF US_EDT=ON. Windows: London 07:00-10:00Z; NY 12:00-15:00Z; NY-PM 17:00-19:00Z.
NEWS
News Guard
News guard disabled (toggle off). (Default blackout ±30m).
AI Analysis
HTF bias is Bearish confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on H4 and H1 with recent BOS down. Price is in the lower_third of the daily range but near the low, which is a potential liquidity area. 15m structure shows LH/LL and BOS down agreeing with HTF. However, price is very close to daily low and buying here would be buying into a strong support area, which violates STRICT short rules. Also, the session is Asia, where counter-trend reversals are risky. Therefore, STRICT lane is NO-TRADE now.
Entry Model
Breaker Block 60% confidence
⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This signal is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading XAUUSD involves significant risk of loss. Use at your own risk.